Ultimately, whether the market’s four-week bet proves accurate will depend on geopolitical developments in the coming days. Struyven is closely watching for signals regarding the conflict’s length, noting that sweeping goals like “regime change” from the U.S. administration could indicate a protracted war, while narrower military goals or the rise of a reformist leader in Iran could offer an off-ramp for a shorter conflict. For now, Wall Street is pricing in a month of turmoil, hoping the physical flow of oil resumes before prices are forced into the triple digits.
"Cancel safety" isn't yet formally defined, but roughly speaking we say that an
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「傳統富裕家庭一直如此。有些家庭甚至出現世代服務的員工,長期支撐整個家庭運作,」她說。
Дарья Устьянцева (редактор отдела «Мир»)